Friday, January 18, 2008
REAL ID
"The U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) announced today final rules establishing minimum security standards for state-issued driver licenses and identification cards.
Earlier today, Ohio Department of Public Safety and Ohio Bureau of Motor Vehicles officials received the 284-page final rule document and participated in a national conference call where DHS officials discussed today’s announcement.
“Our review of the proposed final guidelines for Real ID implementation is underway,” said Henry Guzmán, Director of the Ohio Department of Public Safety. “Throughout this evolving process, our primary concerns on a state level have always been the financial impact of implementing this new federal standard in license verification and issuance, and determining how REAL ID impacts how we serve our customers across the state.”
DHS officials confirmed during today’s conference call Ohio was the first state to be granted an extension to comply with the provisions of the REAL ID act. In collaboration with the General Assembly, state officials initiated the request for an extension to federal officials in October and received notification from DHS officials granting an extension on December 10.
The first deadline for compliance with REAL ID is December 31, 2009. By that date, states must complete an initial upgrade of the security of their license systems.
REAL ID addresses document fraud by setting specific requirements that states must adopt for compliance, including (1) information and security features that must be incorporated into each card; (2) proof of the identity and U.S. citizenship or legal status of an applicant; (3) verification of the source documents provided by an applicant; and (4) security standards for the office that issue licenses and identification cards.
ODPS officials will work closely with the Governor’s Office and federal officials throughout the review process, Guzmán added.
For more information on today’s release of REAL ID regulations, visit www.dhs.gov. "
Ohio changes at a glacial pace sometimes. In this case, it may be a benefit as the challenges of implementing REAL ID are worked out. As Director Guzman points out, REAL ID will have financial costs associated with implementation that may be apparent until the program begins. There will also be an economic impact to businesses required to use REAL ID protocols. Those increased costs will be passed on to the customer through higher prices and processing fees. Even businesses that aren't required to use REAL ID, but still deal with other businesses that do, will experience higher costs associated with doing business. Cargo and freight companies could also be effected should REAL ID become a standard for port and terminal identification. It remains to be proven if these increased costs result in a corresponding reduction in terrorist attacks or activity. Hopefully metrics will eventually be created to allow an objective evaluation of REAL ID. Should it prove that REAL ID costs are disproportionate, then perhaps a re-evaluation would be in order much like DHS recently did with its goal of inspecting 100 percent of all inbound shipping containers.
The one thing about Ohio pedantic pace is it will allow lessons to be learned from othes as REAL ID begins to be implemented living up to Mark Twain's observation about Cincinnati. The author once quipped, "When the end of the world comes, I want to be in Cincinnati because it's always twenty years behind the times."
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Europe, air travel and the plague
The head of US Homeland Security Michael Chertoff said in an interview with the BBC that there would soon be stricter security checks on people wishing to fly to the USA from the EU. Chertoff said that the planned tightening of security was due to concerns that terrorists "were increasingly looking to Europe both as a target and as a platform for terrorist attacks." He had "watched the rise of home-grown terrorism in Europe", referring in particular to the bombings in Madrid and London as well as the attempted bombings in Germany.
In a way, this should not come as a surprise as Europe is no more immune to disenfranchised individuals then we are. Ethnic divisions between the Walloons and Flemish, for example, came to forefront recently as an interim government was formed in Belgium. Some viewed this as an affirmation of the European Union that Belgium did not fall into immediate collapse. What it also shows is despite the apparent homogeny of the European Union old ethnic divisions still exist and could be the basis for a terrorist group to find new recruits. The Basques have taken exception to policies of both the governments of Spain and Portugal for decades. Kosovo has declared independence from Serbia potentially igniting new conflicts in the Balkans. Even the Swiss have been in the news lately due to calls by some for stricter regulations against immigrants. These are just some of the various European issues that could all be the basis for forming new terrorist organizations or strengthening old ones through new alliances.
The tightening of security checks for travelers from Europe causes me to think of a different challenge for those in homeland security. Travelers, those visiting from afar as well as those returning home, are exposed to many different stimulus while away. They have experienced different sounds, languages, sights, smells and food. Travelers entering the country also may have been exposed to contagious diseases. It seems like identifying passengers at risk for spreading communicable diseases is more of a pressing need than restricting travelers from Europe. Two recent stories have help make my point. The first comes from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which reported a woman infected with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis flew aboard American Airlines Flight 293 in mid-December 2007 from New Delhi to Chicago. Earlier in 2007, another traveler, who knew he was infected with tuberculosis, boarded an international flight person. Neither of these individuals were terrorists nor did they subscribe to any kind of nihilistic ideology. They simply thought their need to travel outweighed their obligation to the safety of their fellow passengers. It takes only one individual with a contagious disease to pose a grave threat to hundreds or even potentially thousands of unsuspecting individuals.
The disease that has most been in the news recently is H5N1. The H5N1 virus, or avian flu, has been the focus of attention for the last few years even though this virus has not show a sustainable ability to spread from human to human. The concern is that H5N1 has shown the ability to mutate and it may mutate into a form that could become easily communicable amongst humans creating a worldwide pandemic. However, there are other diseases that already possess the ability to infect large numbers of people at least on an endemic level. Two that have been on the rise are Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and anti-biotic resistant tuberculosis. Both are highly contagious and can be spread amongst human beings especially in enclosed spaces such as office buildings or airliners. According to a news article on Reuters, plague, the disease that devastated medieval Europe, is re-emerging worldwide and poses a growing but overlooked threat, researchers warned on Tuesday.
While it has only killed some 100 to 200 people annually over the past 20 years, plague has appeared in new countries in recent decades and is now shifting into Africa, Michael Begon, an ecologist at the University of Liverpool and colleagues said. A bacterium known as Yersinia pestis causes bubonic plague, known in medieval times as the Black Death when it was spread by infected fleas, and the more dangerous pneumonic plague, spread from one person to another through coughing or sneezing. "Although the number of human cases of plague is relatively low, it would be a mistake to overlook its threat to humanity, because of the disease's inherent communicability, rapid spread, rapid clinical course, and high mortality if left untreated," they wrote in the journal Public Library of Science journal PloS Medicine.
Globally the World Health Organization reports about 1,000 to 3,000 plague cases each year, with most in the last five years occurring in Madagascar, Tanzania, Mozambique, Malawi, Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). The United States sees about 10 to 20 cases each year. The most recent large pneumonic outbreak comprised hundreds of suspected cases in the Democratic Republic of Congo in 2006.
The most recent large pneumonic plague outbreak was in October and November 2006 in DRC, with hundreds of suspected cases, and a smaller outbreak arose just across the border in nearby Uganda in February 2007. "Plague may not match the so-called 'big three' diseases (malaria, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis) in numbers of current cases," say the authors, "but it far exceeds them in pathogenicity and rapid spread under the right conditions."
It is easier to focus attention on terrorist groups, particularly those abroad, than to deal with ways of identifying passengers with communicable diseases and finding ways of limiting their exposures to others. Advocating stricter types of identification for traveling on airlines may help prevent a known terrorist from boarding a flight but it has not yet been able to stop passengers with known infections of tuberculosis. Perhaps some alienated youth in Europe may be at this moment having visions of attacking the United States but without the organization and funding, he or she will just remain disillusioned. On the other hand, a passenger infected with TB or plague and nothing more than a desire to travel without regard to the safety of others can pose a far greater risk. It was not that long ago some anti-terrorism experts feared a variant of the suicide-bomber scenario where the terrorist intentionally infected himself or herself with smallpox flew into a major airport like O’Hara in Chicago. There the smallpox-infected terrorist would try to physically touch as many individuals as possible in an attempt to spread the disease. It doesn’t take a terrorist to pose a threat to our homeland, just an infected traveler on an airliner. Most are cases of bubonic plague contracted through contact with infected rodents and fleas, although outbreaks of pneumonic plague (directly transmitted from human to human via inhalation of infected respiratory droplets) still occur.
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Local Homeland Security Agencies
The DHS disputes these charges and points out the insurmountable challenges of merging so many divergent agencies with dissimilar missions to meet the challenges of protecting the homeland. The realization of the complexities of these tasks is reflected in how the DHS is modifying recommendations in the 9/11 Commission Report. For example, the DHS recently changed its goal from inspecting 100 percent of all shipping containers arriving at U.S. ports to more random screening based on new technology to identify suspicious containers. The original goal had proved unachievable due to cost and time. Shipping containers illustrate one of the tendencies of homeland security to invest in emerging technology whenever faced with an insurmountable challenge. Another example is the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) adding more and more technology to passenger screening yet only recently has additional screening or airport employees and aircrew been brought up. The Airline Pilot’s Association is against additional screening of pilot’s and aircrew flying as passengers citing the extensive background checks that airline aircrews already undergo. The association feels additional screening will add more delays with little increase in overall security. While the pilot’s association is concerned about their members, the issue brings up an important point. Technology being employed by TSA, regardless of the sophistication, is still only at the screening area. Terrorists, in theory, are still able to arrive at the airport BEFORE any technology can be used to detect their presence or the presence of any weapons. Security is already at a disadvantage if a terrorist, or anyone determined to commit violence, arrives at the airport without any prior warning. TSA should not be put into the position of being the first line of defense; they should be part of a continuum of security that begins with law enforcement and the local community. Reliance on high-tech solutions does not always add that human element needed to get advance warning of hostile intent by a formerly unknown operative.
Technology can be effectively used to overcome shortfalls such as insufficient manpower or time, however the reliance on technology has become the default setting for implementing homeland security especially at the local level. DHS grants last year totaled $1.7 billion to local homeland security programs in 2007. However, the majority of these grants are for purchases of technology and not for the more enduring programs such as training.
DHS grants are broken into five programs to be used in a regional approach to strengthening homeland security. Grant funding priorities include reducing risks of improvised explosive devices and radiological, chemical and biological weapons. They emphasize interoperable communications, information sharing and citizen preparedness. HSGP fiscal year 2007 funding totals were:
State Homeland Security Program (SHSP)- $509.3 million
Law Enforcement Terrorism Prevention Program (LETPP)- $363.8 million
Urban Areas Security Initiative (UASI)- $746.9 million
Metropolitan Medical Response System (MMRS)- $32.0 million
Citizen Corps Program (CCP)- $14.6 million
With the exception of the last category, DHS grants are applied to big-ticket items (such as new decontamination equipment, emergency medical response units, or equipment for detecting weapons of mass destruction (WMD). The problem with these grants is that assumes another attack along the lines of 9/11 by an outside organization such as Al Qaida. The technology purchased by these grants is of little use to a small community that may never face an Al Qaida planned attack but could very easily face a disaster created by a disgruntled employee at the local chemical manufacturing plant or food processing plant. The motivations may differ but the results are the same. Local homeland security agencies, along with their communities, need to have the ability to train and improve their interoperability. While technology does offer some opportunities for improvement in this area, it still comes down to people developing and maintaining the networks formed best by training and working together. The DHS grants force communities to create scenarios requiring high-end technology to justify the amount of the grant. In reality, the local homeland security agency would be better served by focusing on the Universal Task List (UTL), which has more irrelevance to many communities rather that trying to prevent the next attack from Al Qaida. This does not mean smaller communities may not be faced with discovering an active terrorist cell in their community, only that there are far more likely situations facing communities that aren’t related to terrorism but would require some of the same skill sets.
Technology, regardless of how advanced, has a limited life cycle, which may be shortened by the arrival of newer technology or by tactics that render the technology obsolete. Smaller communities may have state-of-the-art equipment today but find themselves unable to maintain it over the course of years. The other problem with technology is the need to continually train on the technology. Depending on the technology and its applicability to normal requirements, the equipment may get relegated to being used once a year or less. Immediately following the events of 9/11, Air National Guard bases received high-tech equipment for passive detection of threats to the base. The equipment was procured under emergency funding and sent out to the bases. Much of the technology sat dormant however since there was no funding available to set the equipment up. Similar gaps may occur in local communities that purchase high-tech items only to find out the cost of setting it up or maintaining is goes beyond the scope of the DHS grant.
Training tends to get short-changed in most grants due to the perception of training as a “soft skill”. Unlike equipment or personnel, training is harder to measure and account for in audits. It is difficult to establish a measure of effectiveness for training conducted through a grant. There is no empirical way to know for certain whether or not the training actually occurred or whether the students actually learned anything. Unfortunately, training personnel has a more enduring impact than technology and properly trained personnel build their own strategies flexible enough to deal with ever-changing threats facing the local community. Going into the seventh year since the attack on 9/11 the homeland may have more equipment to detect potential terrorists but it does not appear that local homeland security agencies are anymore capable when it comes to interoperability. Those enamored of technology will point out the numerous software applications out there to help improve interoperability and the latest routers to handling data from multiple agencies. What are missing in all of this are still the basics. The people of these agencies have to feel comfortable with one another and develop the necessary networks THEN the appropriate technology can be applied to streamline the flow of information. Even in the 21st Century, it still starts with a handshake and business card.
Thursday, January 10, 2008
Comprehensive Risk Assessment
With the possible exception of Alexander the Great who favored attacking an enemy at their strongest point, most tacticians (military and otherwise) look for weaker area to exploit during an attack. Attacking a weak point makes sense both from a tactical level as well as a financial one. Going against a hardened facility may be not only be tactically unsound as well as being cost prohibitive. A planner looking for a vulnerability to exploit may discover their target by a simple process of elimination. In one sense by hardening one area against attack may provide the inspiration needed to divine the true area of vulnerability.
Going back to my example of the county commissioner, efforts to insure vital areas and critical infrastructures are protected could drive a terrorist to plan an attack from an adjacent location. The location may not have sufficient funding nor have the same risk associated as their neighbor. For instance, the city water supply may originate from a remote area outside the county and thus susceptible to attack. Taking steps to protect water supplies may cause terrorist planners to note other targets such as power substations, fiber optic cables, or agricultural areas. The location or size of these targets prevents any large scale physical security measures from being enacted. Even in those cases where physical security measures can be taken, costs may prohibit a comprehensive plan from being taken.
Too often communities implement systems to reduce terrorist attacks but do so in a vacuum without looking at how such actions may fit into larger strategic plan. Jonah Czerwinski over on Homeland Security Watch wrote a piece about the New York city subway tip line. If a commuter sees something amiss, they are to call the tip line and report the suspicious activity. As Mr. Czerwinksi notes, the premise is good but is incomplete. Commuters could tie up the tip line with numerous reports of everything BUT the very suspicious activity it was designed to prevent. He notes that despite having not actually capturing any terrorists, it does seem to have made commuters more aware of their surroundings. What is missing in the New York city example, and Ohio for we have a See It Report It hotline, is an education program for the public. The specific behaviors commuters should be looking need to be shared with the public. The system is good but was implemented in a vacuum without taking into considerations how to make it even more effective. The tip-line could be part of a comprehensive plan to increase citizen awareness not just on subways but throughout their daily travels. Citizens in this case could be used force multipliers for law enforcement and others responsible for preventing terrorists attacks.
Education and training of average citizens seems to still be an under-developed area of the homeland security spectrum. Homeland security grants pay for high-dollar projects yet the efficacy of these projects remains to be seen. Ohio has the Multi-Agency Radio Communication System (MARCS) which gives subscribing agencies contiguous communications throughout the state. Because agencies have to pay monthly fees per each radio, many smaller agencies are unable to afford MARCS radio. In theory MARCS is a statewide radio network but costs prohibits all agencies from being able to use it. Inversely the most remote communities are the ones with the least number of radios due to the costs which these communities cannot afford. To be sure, MARCS is far better than what Ohio had in 1989 and had NO interoperable radio system during the Shadyside floods. However, MARCS needs to be part of a comprehensive interoperability plan and one that the average citizen understands.
Football season is over for teams from the local area (the Bearcats won their bowl game and well the Bengals are still the Bengals) but I still recall watching a championship high school game earlier this year. Two high school teams were playing for the regional championship at the University of Cincinnati with a record crowd of 20,000 (a huge turnout). It occurred to me that for all of the fear about attacks at NFL games, a Friday night high school game could present a terrorist far easier group for attack. Homeland security experts and law enforcement agencies would agree there is a risk but would also lament the lack of funding to deal with a rather remote threat. Instead of accepting this defeatist attitude, the development of a comprehensive homeland security plan that includes educating the public what to look for would pay far more benefits than many of the high dollar measures. Of course educating the public runs the risk of offending special interest groups but if these groups are brought in at the start, such protests could be reduced or eliminated altogether. Comprehensive means not just addressing all likely scenarios and vulnerabilities but also including all stakeholders from the community. Education of the community may not pay high-dollars but it is a cost-effective way of protecting ALL of the community, not just selected portions.
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
China
The economic relationship the
Last year, the United States imported over $266 million dollars worth of goods from China while only exporting $52 million dollars worth of goods for an deficit of -$213 million (source: U.S. Census Bureau). The imbalance has allowed
Global warming became mainstream earlier this year with former Vice President Gore winning the Nobel Peace Prize for his movie “An Inconvenient Truth”. The change in views by the current administration has been seen in recent adoption of energy standards requiring 35 m.p.g. automobiles within 13 years and elimination of incandescent light bulbs within 4 years. However, these measures seem to pale in comparison to the environmental challenge posed by Chinese economy.
The
Saturday, January 5, 2008
Go Michigan!
Recently the Michigan State Attorney General overturned a previous ruling and now illegal aliens are denied driver’s licenses.
On the Detroit Free Press website, immigration attorney Faten Tina Shuker listed the typical arguments heard from those in favor of issuing driver’s license to illegal aliens:
By denying driver's licenses to a segment of
Restrictions will only create an underground mechanism and demand for fraudulent licenses. The current mechanisms that jeopardize our national security will become more powerful as the demand for service increases. The argument presupposes that such mechanisms will be increased as though they don’t exist already. I’m remain unconvinced that if driver’s licenses were to be issued to illegal aliens this would somehow have an adverse effect on the illegal identity trade. Furthermore, if an individual is here illegally I don’t see the incentive for them to obtain a legal document with their residence officially recorded. I can see a driver’s license (or some equivalent) being issued to driver’s who are here on some kind of visiting worker visa but outside of this instance it just seems as though and illegal alien would prefer not to have their home of record official documented.
Local law enforcement officers will be exposed to unidentifiable criminals, and their lives will be more in danger. The statement assumes that majority of the time a police officer questions someone they know they are dealing with a known criminal. Every police officer I’ve met has said a traffic stop is one of the most dangerous things in their line of work because you never know who is driving the car much less what their intentions may be. The individual could be an otherwise law abiding citizen but could be under the influence of drugs or alcohol. Their mental state could be deteriorated from an illness unrelated to drugs or alcohol. None of this is made any less dangerous by the issuance of a driver’s license to an illegal alien.
For the sake of our state's homeland security, we need to know who resides in our state instead of helping create an underground community. The majority of illegal aliens are here because they can’t make the same wages back home as they can in the
While I see driver’s licenses for illegal aliens as failing to deliver on the claims of its proponents, I do agree with TSAs new background checks of pilots and other airline personnel. The Airline Pilot’s Association said they are concerned a no-fly list that regularly grounds members when they fly as passengers could prevent some of their ranks from reporting to work. While the union feels this is unnecessary due to the extensive and regular background checks pilots undergo, the issue does address a potential vulnerability. Pilots that are assigned to fly an aircraft are working with other crew members that can quickly identify if the pilot is a legitimate employee or not. The same cannot be said for an individual “dead-heading” as a passenger. The uniform and identification cards could be stolen or fake. For those airline personnel flying as passengers, I see it as prudent to have
Thursday, January 3, 2008
Study doesn't support truck ban
The New Year brings cold weather back to the
As I’ve written about before, the Brent Spence bridge is part of the I-75 system which runs from
According to the OKI analysis, 5,200 fewer trucks would be traversing the
Most significantly, OKI’s research showed the safety impact of a truck ban would be minimal. On the
The communities around the Brent Spence bridge on both sides of the river applaud this decision as most agree a truck ban was only a partial solution to a much larger problem. What is desperately needed is a new bridge to accommodate the huge traffic the flows daily over the Brent Spence. The life expectancy for the Brent Spence is about 10-15 more years at which time local planners hope to have a new bridge funded and under construction.
What the Brent Spence situation shows us is how long it takes to solve a impending problem that we know of but lack the funding and ability to correct in the short-term. While the OKI study makes the case that diverting truck traffic would not effect the number of severe accidents on the bridge, as many are already saying it only takes one accident if you are in it! The problem of course is there is no way to tell how severe that one accident will be, it could be the one that completely demolishes a section of the bridge. The accident could happen during a snow storm with a huge multiple care pile-up. For those unfamiliar with the bridge, the lanes are extremely narrow with traffic flowing one-way on two different road decks. North bound traffic is routed along the lower road deck which is akin to driving through a tunnel. There is no room to swerve to avoid a collision without immediately crossing into other traffic and hence compounding the magnitude of the accident.
Obviously there is no quick solution to any infrastructure problem but motorists traveling the Brent Spence bridge need to exercise extreme caution. Too often people speed or drive erratically (especially under the influence of drugs or alcohol) which drastically increases the likelihood of an accident. Hopefully the OKI study will be used to increase the design and construction of a replacement bridge for the Brent Spence and not seen as an excuse to delay a desperately needed solution to a critical infrastructure challenge.